Who knew?
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… that there is an apparently serious and respectable institution called the Center for Advanced Hindsight ("With our ‘Advanced Hindsight’ superpower we develop, apply and share behavioral insights").
This suggests a large space of available institutional names: there could be Institutes (or Centers or Laboratories) for (the Advanced Study of) many interesting things: Higher-Order Cognitive Bias; Unprecedented Errors; Failing Presuppositions; Novel Fallacies; …
unekdoud said,
August 24, 2016 @ 11:16 am
I'm sure the only reason they don't use the term more is because it sounds like a euphemism for colonoscopy.
MattF said,
August 24, 2016 @ 11:45 am
@unekdoud: That would be the Center for Penetrating Hindsight.
Justin said,
August 24, 2016 @ 11:47 am
The "Do Not Click Here" box at the bottom of the page proves they have a better insight into human behavior than most people.
Rubrick said,
August 24, 2016 @ 4:46 pm
There's also its converse institution, the Center for Retarded Foresight, though I think they prefer to call themselves "pundits".
Rubrick said,
August 24, 2016 @ 4:50 pm
(I used "retarded" as the opposite of "advanced" in a technical sense, but I guess the result ends up at least appearing to have "retarded" as the now-offensive term for mentally impaired; sorry about that.)
Ray said,
August 24, 2016 @ 6:38 pm
actually, this respectable institution and its mission aren't so far-fetched. there's been serious study (even at UPenn) given to the whole field of predicting and forecasting, that takes into account the use of hindsight. it's part of the old "fox vs hedgehogs" styles of judgment, where the fox knows many things but the hedgehog knows one great thing… "Hedgehogs have one grand theory (Marxist, Libertarian, whatever) which they are happy to extend into many domains, relishing its parsimony, and expressing their views with great confidence. Foxes, on the other hand, are skeptical about grand theories, diffident in their forecasts, and ready to adjust their ideas based on actual events."
http://freakonomics.com/podcast/how-to-be-less-terrible-at-predicting-the-future-a-new-freakonomics-radio-podcast/
Avi Rappoport said,
August 24, 2016 @ 10:37 pm
There used to be an analyst firm called "Failure Analysis", with it's nickname: "Failure".
Boursin said,
August 25, 2016 @ 6:40 am
http://www.humiliationstudies.org/